Entries by PlaceGetters

Sequences

Sequences are probably responsible for more punters failing than any other factor in racing. In previous articles we have attributed that to the average punter’s failure to correctly assess Probability, but in reality, these two concepts are opposite sides of the same coin.

Facing the Troughs

Punting can be like ocean sailing. Sometimes everything is rolling along smoothly; the wind might be partly in our faces, but we can still feel and enjoy the sensation of moving towards our goal, whatever that might be.

What is Probable? (Part 2)

Further to the concept discussed in Part 1, regarding the Pick-A-Box Puzzle. There exist on the internet a number of forums debating this issue, and some of the arguments for the final decision of which box to pick, i.e. whether to switch or stick being a 50-50 decision are seductive, to the point where some people are simply unable to see that the choice remaining after a losing box has been revealed is far from even.

What is Probable? (Part 1)

How well do we understand Probability? Most of us think we have a fairly good idea of what sort of chance a selection we have made might perform in a race, especially if we have taken the time to incorporate ideas and principles from ‘expert’ commentators.